Friday, 13 February 2015

Betfair sales drive

Kathy: Hi James! Kathy here from Betfair Casino Team. How are you doing?

Kathy: I'm here to help you claim your 200% Welcome Bonus via promotions page when you deposit and buy in with at least £20. How does that sound?

10828375: Not very good.

10828375: But thanks.

Kathy: Oh, may I ask why for feedback purposes?

10828375: I imagine that it needs to be wagered so many times the chances of retaining the deposit are small.

Kathy: I understand that you are hesitant of the requirement, however, your bets will be counted whether win or lose and you have 1 full week to fulfill it, James.

10828375: Reading inbetween the lines, you seem to be agreeing with me.

10828375: Bets being counted and time to fulfill are irrelevant and I think you know that.

Kathy: the requirement is 7 times, players think that it's hight but I have players who were able to collect winnings from the bonus, James.

Kathy: *37

10828375: Yes, that's the nature of gambling.

Kathy: Yes, that's correct, the bonus will you additional funds to play longer in the casino, you make bets and play as normal.

Kathy: You'll never know, you were able to complete the requirement already.

10828375: I'll never know but it won't keep me awake at night that I didn't.

10828375: Well done for trying Kathy

10828375: I know you get commission for a sale but I'm a tough cookie

Kathy: Alright, no pressure, James. I'm here to give out options but I respect your decision.

10828375: Thank you and have a nice evening.

Kathy: Have a good night too and try to download Betfair Casino App on your mobile and play games anywhere!

Tuesday, 10 February 2015

My part in Southampton's rise

My inability to back winning teams has been turned to good use with a near flawless weekend.  On balance, arguably my best result for the first match, which gave me 17 to re-invest, my best for the second, which put Southampton back in third and a measly point for Liverpool, who I showed some respect by investing 12 of my 17 to win (I had money to burn). The other 5 went into a new Coral account and Coral give new customers a 20 pound free bet on top, so I put 25 on Man U to win, which brought my total bet on them to 33 pounds.  They drew with West Ham, which put Southampton in third and all their serious competitors trailing behind.

I've since opened a Skybet account, which gives 20 pounds to play with if you bet 5.  So I've put 5 of my money on West Ham to beat Southampton at 4/1 and the free 20 on Spurs at 3/1. 

Thursday, 5 February 2015

A second bite of the cherry?

Seriously, I think not.  Probably me scratching myself.

I wouldn’t go up against the inevitable dominance of the house edge if it wasn’t in the service of my team.  I never win anything big, neither do Southampton, can we both lose?  Having won 35.75 with the 13.50 free money Betfred gave me I considered cashing out but figured there isn’t really much I want to buy for 35 quid, I’d rather add a fiver and re-invest.  The idea is to bet on teams that damage Southampton’s prospects; the greater the threat the more money.  I put 17.75 on Arsenal to win 39.05 (inc. stake) at 6/5.  Tottenham sit lower down the table and therefore a win from them is less harmful, so I put a smaller stake on them, 5 at 12/5 to win 17.00.  Ideally, I want both teams to draw and only pick up a point each and so I haven’t bet on this outcome.  I want Man U to lose so I’ve bet 8 on them to win 16 odds on.  A Man U draw or a loss would be considered a good result from Southampton’s perspective.  I want Southampton to win outright against QPR, a draw is not very useful, so I’ve bet 5 on a draw at 13/5 to win 18.00 and 5 on QPR at 7/2 to win 22.50.  From a financial point of view my worst case scenario is an Arsenal/Tottenham draw, a Man U draw or loss and a Southampton win.  By no means unfeasible.  But that would put Southampton back in third above Man U, a fantastic result and worth the outlay- a mere 5.00 of my actual money, depending on how you look at it.  (Forget Man City.  They have broken away and any slip would be a blip.  What’s more, the 2/11 odds are poor value IMHO).  The worst result for Southampton would be a loss for them and a win for Man U and Arsenal.  Even then, their position in the table would be quite good and financially I’d be looking at 77.55 in the bank to help me drown my sorrows.  If results go with the favourites then you would expect a Man U win, an Arsenal win and a Southampton win.  55,05 in the bank.  Can you believe it, I’d actually be in profit with a Southampton victory?  Of course, there are 3 possible results in a football match and though EVS on Man U looks to me to be a very sweet deal (say you bet 100, you get your stake plus 100 back) the number crunchers must know the odds of a draw or West Ham win are in fact higher.  So the two unlikely outcomes combined are greater than the one likely one.  A mediocre result would be Southampton draw, Man U draw, Spurs/Arsenal draw.  I’d lose almost half my total outlay with no progress at all for Southampton.
The way I’m talking, you’d think I was A, good at maths, B a seasoned gambler.  I’m neither.  I’m a wildcard and  I’ll be chucked back into oblivion very soon.  Another thing, if I were a professional I would have cashed out and scoured the internet looking for the bookies offering the best odds on the particular teams I wanted to bet on.  One bookie might give you better odds on Arsenal, another Man U.  No supermarket has all the best deals on all products, one stop shop betting is also a folly, I would think.

Monday, 2 February 2015

Alien abduction?

First, a boring observation about the weather.  It was -3 this morning, which is about as cold as it gets in Margate, really.  Snow is forecast for Tuesday and Thursday.  My four hour shift at Sense was made bearable by Imogen helping out when large queues built up but they're taking the stabilisers off in 2 weeks and I have to ride 2 wheels.  Nice girl (or woman I suppose, about my age but dressed young) called Vicky asked me what I did in my spare time.  Told her I wrote, said she'd like to read my story but later we had an awkward conversation about shoelaces and she said "I have no idea what you're talking about" when I asked her how she does hers and if they were uncomfortable like that because on her converse style trainers she had the bows tucked down the side.  Is what I was driving at rocket science?  I just made it worse the more I tried to manifest what it was I meant.  The pleasant surprise of her asking me what I did in my spare time almost the moment I met her was exactly cancelled out by the failure of that conversation.   That was the highlight and lowlight of my day.  This post has been like a news report backwards, starting with the weather, then other news.  Back to our main headline, today I discovered two light scratch marks on my arm and a small red mark... 

Sunday, 1 February 2015

Well done Gary tho'

Did I cheer when Swansea won?  Thankfully I was quite depressed. 

Gambling awareness

So the one hour training session at Sense charity shop for the deaf and blind went reasonably well.  I had trouble opening a carrier bag, I may have not folded an item of clothing perfectly, but it was a reasonably unruffled slice of a day.  I walked in on an argument between a (very) disgruntled staff member and other staff, a customer dropped a pound and spent a few minutes looking for it to no avail and there was a slightly prickly moment between my shadow and the boss.  She said
"It's like talking to a brick wall," when my shadow had apparently forgotten that she will be shadowing me on Monday and my shadow (can't remember her name) replied "Don't you dare" or some such thing.  I was glad when my hour was up.  Enough drama for one day.

Speaking of fun and games, these days betting shops have signs foisted upon them- like 'Stop when the fun stops', which they have to put in their front window.  I hope I can remember this because I've come up with a fun little scheme? When I signed up with Betfred a few months ago they gave me some free money to play with.  I think perhaps I put ten pounds in and they doubled it.  Anyhow, I had thirteen pounds of unclaimed money so...with Southampton sitting pretty but threatened by the resurgence of the big boys (Spurs, Liverpool, Man U, Arsenal) my thinking is this.  Bet 6.50 on a draw at 3/1 and 6.50 on a Swansea win at 11/5 and I can't lose.  My team either moves back into third above Man U or I win comfortably.  And if Southampton do win, the odds for a QPR victory will be even better next week.  Watch this space.